Measuring Deficit Reduction

July 7th, 2011

Keith Hennessey argues we should judge debt reduction plans by their resulting deficit, not the amount their creators think they reduce the deficit by:

It is far better to evaluate a deal by looking only at Y, the deficits that would result from the deal, rather than at X-Y, the change in those deficits from an arbitrarily defined starting point. In the first example, instead of asking “Is $2 or $7 trillion of deficit reduction the right amount,” we should ask “Is a policy resulting in $5 trillion of deficits over the next decade an acceptable outcome, or do we need to do more?”